Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.068177 0.079455 0.091945 0.106794 0.123958 0.143165 0.166285
2024-10-13 0.051318 0.066301 0.084587 0.108505 0.138929 0.176298 0.225656
2024-10-20 0.039047 0.054813 0.075614 0.104981 0.145284 0.198566 0.274274
2024-10-27 0.031004 0.046669 0.068731 0.101927 0.150460 0.218649 0.321552
2024-11-03 0.026681 0.042656 0.066458 0.104289 0.162668 0.249059 0.386277
2024-11-10 0.023934 0.040372 0.066120 0.109074 0.178598 0.286281 0.465174
2024-11-17 0.021263 0.037681 0.064602 0.111550 0.190919 0.319059 0.540793
2024-11-24 0.018718 0.034735 0.062145 0.111962 0.199651 0.346767 0.611102
2024-12-01 0.016478 0.031935 0.059472 0.111495 0.206598 0.371975 0.679731
2024-12-08 0.014473 0.029233 0.056551 0.110090 0.211523 0.393976 0.744910
2024-12-15 0.013409 0.028143 0.056394 0.113673 0.225830 0.433950 0.846589
2024-12-22 0.012423 0.027048 0.056053 0.116799 0.239536 0.474121 0.952819
2024-12-29 0.011585 0.026164 0.056068 0.120745 0.255558 0.520882 1.077942
2025-01-05 0.010759 0.025186 0.055766 0.124019 0.270665 0.567605 1.208511
2025-01-12 0.009433 0.022897 0.052401 0.120373 0.270944 0.584674 1.280854
2025-01-19 0.008307 0.020887 0.049356 0.116987 0.271285 0.601769 1.354962
2025-01-26 0.007758 0.020156 0.049064 0.119714 0.285353 0.649260 1.499260
2025-02-02 0.007440 0.019940 0.049921 0.125192 0.306265 0.713736 1.687785
2025-02-09 0.006982 0.019298 0.049682 0.128024 0.321347 0.766808 1.856284
2025-02-16 0.006435 0.018340 0.048540 0.128495 0.330836 0.808122 2.002062
2025-02-23 0.005892 0.017309 0.047077 0.127963 0.337789 0.844217 2.139341
2025-03-02 0.005355 0.016209 0.045289 0.126356 0.341841 0.873793 2.264013
2025-03-09 0.005120 0.015935 0.045645 0.130452 0.360996 0.942065 2.491223